**CAF Note: the following article identifies the core problem involving transhumanism and trans-ecology – they have the potential to destroy the food supply.**

By Yaneer Bar-Yam, Rupert Read, and Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Precautionary Principle (PP) is often presented in forms such that it can be used naively to justify any act of paranoia and interventionism (which in fact would create more risk); we are instead putting a formal statistical and risk-based structure around the idea, grounding it in rigorous probability theory and the properties of complex systems.

In other words, the PP is meant to help make decisions that ensure survival when statistical evidence is limited because it has not had time to show up, by focusing on the adverse effects of “absence of evidence”.

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